中国人民大学企业与组织研究中心

组织经济学Seminar

【2011F07】

组织经济学（Organizational Economics）Seminar由中国人民大学企业与组织研究中心（CFOS）主办。CFOS的宗旨是，利用现代经济学方法研究中国的企业、政府、市场和非营利组织的重大问题，推动企业理论、契约理论和制度经济学的研究与教学。关注CFOS，请访问http://CFOS.ruc.edu.cn。

时间：2011年12月14日（周三）12：00－13：30

地点：明德主楼729会议室

主持：聂辉华

主讲：乔雪

主题：The Costs and Benefits of Autocracy

摘要：We compare the long term performances of autocracy and democracy by focusing on one key difference between them: that is, in autocracy, incumbent leader selects the future leader, whereas in democracy, the future leader is chosen by citizens by majority rule. We derive a rich set of implications from this single difference. We show that the performances of all democracies (i.e., different economies with democratic institutions) tend to converge, whereas those of autocracies exhibit wide variety. Some autocracies dominate democracy, while some fare much worse, with others falling in between. However, even when it outperforms democracy, autocracy tends to be volatile, and is accompanied by a weak civil society. Moreover, bad autocracies may deliver similar short-term outstanding performance as good autocracies.

演讲者简介：乔雪，现为清华大学经济管理学院助理教授。她于2007年获得美国爱荷华州立大学经济学博士学位，此前于1998年获得北京大学经济学学士学位，已在Journal of Economic Dyanmics and Control等国际刊物上发表论文若干篇，主要研究领域为契约理论、宏观经济学和失业保险。

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